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Post by naspa on Nov 30, 2018 5:04:28 GMT 1
vdgg As far as I understand it is true. Sprint is needed to attack at attack points and counts with the intermediate sprints. I guess in some ways also at the final, although I assume the terrain skill is there most important. And for now TT is important to stay away after an attack. Things will change next year - best is to experience this in the fun races. To my surprise all my attackers -that are sometimes winning in the production version- are finishing last in the funraces. It seems very dangerous to place an early attack overthere. The result yesterday was also matter of moods, as the riders finishing before Cappellazzo are "delighted". To my estimation you have lost it here. It seems that mood counts just as the fitness or effort of a rider. A rider at delighted mood will ride at 100% of his capacity compared to maybe something 70-80% for a rider with ok or content mood. There seems to be some tricks to get riders delighted fast. one exspensive one is giving a rider a wage raise. The prediction for today? Well we all can see the riders left at 99%. Do not expect too much from my team. Lenz was maybe not the best man to bring to Down Under and I made a mistake with my 25 year old - gave him too much effort yesterday. For the podium: Slayers Hurlus seems to be the rider to watch. For the other top 5 places: I think Lange (Devils dark horse), Chisca or Emond. Dirks Van Menckel could do well as well, but he seems set for GC, same as Antwerps Fonseca. Chosens Pacchiano can certainly be top 5. Thors Picard maybe, although I would have expected Osmochescu whom we have seen winning races like this last year for Antwerp, but he is already down to 65% fitness.
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Post by dustin on Nov 30, 2018 8:28:41 GMT 1
"Chisca" …….. nice to see, but I do not really expect him in the top 5.
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Post by Slayer772004 on Nov 30, 2018 10:47:43 GMT 1
Im more excitid to see Fadi Rohart (Team Dustin), the best rider of Division 3 last season. The terrain suits him - other terrain maybe even better, but this one suits him well too. He is still at 99%, so for sure he has some plans for today. Stage or GC ... thats the question. Or both, why not.
Fadi Rohart is - I think - not losing too much skills yet, in contrast to Chisca who is effectively fading away. 100% sure Dustin takes his first points today, propably podium and who knows what more ...
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Post by dustin on Nov 30, 2018 11:20:55 GMT 1
Rohart has lost 66.66% of what Chisca lost to much to be good
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Post by rarau on Nov 30, 2018 11:54:45 GMT 1
now, at the beginning of the season, Fadi Rohart is still good, he is 37 years
If it was a star he don't loose yet too much skills.
The other discussion are with my 39-40y who lost A LOT of their skills.
If you see the skills of my mountain stars Zeff and Parasca you will see that i'm right. Also for Jouy who this is probable last season.
A lot of my oldies retire in last seasons.
And about Alves Pereira i dont know wky i keep him anymore , wage immense and on mountain is number 6, his luck is that the cyclists who are now trained in mountain are very young and they dont reach it yet.
My cyclists wages are extremly high, at least 500.000 per week and not from the number of cyclists is about the oldies.
160.000 only for 39-40 years 140.000 for 36-38 years
without them i dont have results but i will have under 200.000 wages.
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Post by naspa on Nov 30, 2018 12:58:49 GMT 1
Im more excitid to see Fadi Rohart (Team Dustin), the best rider of Division 3 last season. The terrain suits him - other terrain maybe even better, but this one suits him well too. He is still at 99%, so for sure he has some plans for today. Stage or GC ... thats the question. Or both, why not. Fadi Rohart is - I think - not losing too much skills yet, in contrast to Chisca who is effectively fading away. 100% sure Dustin takes his first points today, propably podium and who knows what more ... Yes, if Rohart would not spent effort being a leader, he could win races like this. i did not look at his effort because I assumed Dustin will use him for his LS. And I overlooked Bandilla!
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Post by rarau on Nov 30, 2018 13:16:38 GMT 1
Sprint 4 1. Emond 2500 2. Hurlus 1500 3. Rohart 500 i was first in sprint 4 and i finish on place 5 my downhill is very good
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Post by dustin on Nov 30, 2018 13:49:41 GMT 1
Rarau, it was the hill part .........
yes, Rohart was my first choice today. normally I use younger leaders, allthough Rohart has a lot more LS then Bocken.
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Post by dustin on Nov 30, 2018 13:53:53 GMT 1
Rarau, at this moment I have 3 cyclists with a wage more then 15.000 at this moment 282.823 wages a week
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Post by rarau on Nov 30, 2018 14:04:58 GMT 1
Rarau, it was the hill part ......... yes, Rohart was my first choice today. normally I use younger leaders, allthough Rohart has a lot more LS then Bocken. dustin i said about last part of the race Prono for U21 Il Piccolo Lombardia U21 My favourite is Reinhard Van Munster (144067) Naspa but probable will win Kane Badisco (145070) Slayer one of the dustin cyclist could have chances at top 5 but no more. my prono on this season will be more on U21 and big tours because i dont know too good the cyclists from this division. I know only the races where i could win I hope to win same races in this division not like on division 1 where i dont win anyone
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Post by Schizm on Nov 30, 2018 14:24:06 GMT 1
Rarau, it was the hill part ......... yes, Rohart was my first choice today. normally I use younger leaders, allthough Rohart has a lot more LS then Bocken. dustin i said about last part of the race What Dustin meant was you lost it on the hill part after sprint 4. Emond did not have the right training path. The mediocre hill/mountain skill and a decent downhill skill (for his age) do not make up for his lack of sprint. It makes him a specialist for way to few races (in the top divisions). No mistake he is a pretty good cyclist but he had the potential to be a top contender. But now his TT isn't adequate to compete against the real timetrial specialists and in the "Normal" Flat races he lacks the Sprint skill.
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Post by rarau on Nov 30, 2018 15:27:46 GMT 1
dustin i said about last part of the race What Dustin meant was you lost it on the hill part after sprint 4. Emond did not have the right training path. The mediocre hill/mountain skill and a decent downhill skill (for his age) do not make up for his lack of sprint. It makes him a specialist for way to few races (in the top divisions). No mistake he is a pretty good cyclist but he had the potential to be a top contender. But now his TT isn't adequate to compete against the real timetrial specialists and in the "Normal" Flat races he lacks the Sprint skill. Emond did not have the right training path. ..do not make up for his lack of sprintalmost all know his skills For me have the right training path ... he was trained only for ITT. Of course is normal not to win flat races , especially with hill For me his place today is very good i dont know how he managed to be so high, to win last sprint ) p.s with a trainer without sprint i can't train sprint for Emond About other part of your message for me is an awesome cyclist and i hope we will see that in this season. Real timetrail specialists? if you think a real tt is 15 0 0 0 0 15 , yes he cant be better then this. But on a itt we can have hill and downhill and very rarely mountain.
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Post by Schizm on Nov 30, 2018 16:07:40 GMT 1
Real timetrail specialists? if you think a real tt is 15 0 0 0 0 15 , yes he cant be better then this. But on a itt we can have hill and downhill and very rarely mountain. Emond is "only" top 50 material in TT-skill, the real specialists with only 7 on flat and 17 on TT skill (or 9 flat, 16 TT) can beat Emond even on a completely flat TT (and believe me a big part of them have "comparable skills" to Emond on Hill,Mountain,DH) As an example, if all the other factors are equal, cyclist with this skillset would have the same result in a timetrial : - 7 0 0 0 0 17 - 9 2 2 2 0 16 - 11 4 4 4 0 15 - 13 6 6 6 0 14 - 15 8 8 8 0 13 (made the sprintskill 0 because it has no importance in ITT) edit : Emond is number 10 of the flat specialists the last time I made that ranking (unpublished), so do not underestimate him, he is so strong he can ride (almost) everybody out of his wheel on long flat parts (and that is what happened today on the final intermediate sprint). But he is a "Diesel", when explosiveness is needed (attacks, final sprint) he will be beaten by much less talented cyclits. He is what we call here a "Strijkijzer" (a "(Flattening) Iron" in english).
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Post by Slayer772004 on Nov 30, 2018 16:24:03 GMT 1
Honestly, at part 12.Flat (24km, 1%), Hurlus caught a cold when Emond passed him, closing a gap of 1 minute, even without Attacking Point. The next part, 13.Flat (9km, 0%), his manager got worried like never before seeing him taking extra 30 seconds.
What a an acquaintance with Emond ! I think he is a huge star, and for sure he will take his moment later in the season.
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Post by naspa on Nov 30, 2018 16:53:51 GMT 1
Emond is ageing now a bit. Lucky us. But of course we saw him a few seasons ago dominating all flat races and ITT's in div 1:1.
For tomorrow it is too difficult to predict. Usually a 21 year old. One thing that might count in a race like tomorrow is having a good leader. I think most of us have only 3 or 4 ls. But Lows Okimoto was riding as leader almost alll races last season and already purchased at 4 or 5, if I recall correctly. So Stirparo will proabbly have one more attack point than most others.
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