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Post by pecorone on Jan 16, 2012 10:25:32 GMT 1
For me there is a bug on my youthscout
Skill corrente 13
Steering/Balance 10
Percezione 8
in seven weeks nobody new cyclist on my team
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Post by Quatannens on Jan 16, 2012 10:50:14 GMT 1
Just bad luck probably. Perception=8 makes 40% chance of getting a pull. 7 weeks without: (1-0.4)^7=2.8%. So 2/3 managers out of 100 will have this bad luck...
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Post by pecorone on Jan 16, 2012 14:09:01 GMT 1
Just bad luck probably. Perception=8 makes 40% chance of getting a pull. 7 weeks without: (1-0.4)^7=2.8%. So 2/3 managers out of 100 will have this bad luck... 40% means 4 cyclists in 10 weeks. My youthscout 0 cyclists in 7 weeks or if he find a cyclist next week 1/8 = perception 12.5%. It isn't correct for me there is a bug |
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Post by lee1950 on Jan 16, 2012 19:07:15 GMT 1
I have a really stupid question, so please don't yell  do you have to click on something every week to pull, or does the YA automatically try to pull a rider every update? |
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Post by goof on Jan 16, 2012 19:14:56 GMT 1
I have a really stupid question, so please don't yell do you have to click on something every week to pull, or does the YA automatically try to pull a rider every update? Is this a retorical question? If not, then the answer is yes for the first.  |
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Post by pecorone on Jan 17, 2012 10:07:27 GMT 1
yes, every week
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Post by SeanCages on Jan 17, 2012 10:53:21 GMT 1
Just bad luck probably. Perception=8 makes 40% chance of getting a pull. 7 weeks without: (1-0.4)^7=2.8%. So 2/3 managers out of 100 will have this bad luck... 40% means 4 cyclists in 10 weeks. My youthscout 0 cyclists in 7 weeks or if he find a cyclist next week 1/8 = perception 12.5%. It isn't correct for me there is a bug That's not how it works... |
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Post by Quatannens on Jan 17, 2012 11:43:51 GMT 1
Just bad luck probably. Perception=8 makes 40% chance of getting a pull. 7 weeks without: (1-0.4)^7=2.8%. So 2/3 managers out of 100 will have this bad luck... 40% means 4 cyclists in 10 weeks. My youthscout 0 cyclists in 7 weeks or if he find a cyclist next week 1/8 = perception 12.5%. It isn't correct for me there is a bug No, it's not because you have 8 perception that you'll get 4 cyclists in 10 weeks. The average of a very big sample will probably give 4 cyclists in 10 weeks, but a sample of 7 measurements (your situation) is just not big enough to make any conclusions. As I said you have 40% to get a cyclist if you press the pull button. So you have 60% chance to get nothing. 7 Weeks nothing is a chance of 0.6^7=2.8%. You just are unlucky (or forget to pull?) |
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Post by pecorone on Jan 18, 2012 10:17:46 GMT 1
40% means 4 cyclists in 10 weeks. My youthscout 0 cyclists in 7 weeks or if he find a cyclist next week 1/8 = perception 12.5%. It isn't correct for me there is a bug No, it's not because you have 8 perception that you'll get 4 cyclists in 10 weeks. The average of a very big sample will probably give 4 cyclists in 10 weeks, but a sample of 7 measurements (your situation) is just not big enough to make any conclusions. As I said you have 40% to get a cyclist if you press the pull button. So you have 60% chance to get nothing. 7 Weeks nothing is a chance of 0.6^7=2.8%. You just are unlucky (or forget to pull?) I pull every week, for me it isn't unluck, let'see monday if i will not choos are 8 weeks without a new cyclist... record of unluck? |
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Post by adipy on Jan 18, 2012 17:47:29 GMT 1
I pull every week, for me it isn't unluck, let'see monday if i will not choos are 8 weeks without a new cyclist... record of unluck? take a dice, roll 6 times. Did you get all(1,2,3,4,5 or 6) the possible results once? Unlucky dice :-( |
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Post by pecorone on Jan 25, 2012 17:05:34 GMT 1
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? 
